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Economist Intelligence Unit Report on Zambia predicts RB’s re-election in 2011

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President Banda greets MMD cadres at Ndola airport, Zambia
President Banda greeting MMD cadres

A REPORT of the influential Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has predicted that President Rupiah Banda and the MMD are likely to retain power in the 2011 general elections because of the influence of incumbency and the recovery in both the local and global economy.

The report, however, warns that stagnation in economic policy is at risk as political tensions ahead of the 2011 elections could slow reforms.

“Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will grow at a robust 6.8 percent in 2010 as copper production rises in response to the strong recovery in copper prices and agricultural production continues to benefit from favourable weather and government subsidies,” the report reads.

The unit predicts that domestic revenue collection will gradually improve as the mining sector grows and world trade begins to recover from the effects of the recession.

It says that as a result of this, the fiscal deficit will fall to 2.7 percent of GDP in 2010 and 2.4 percent in 2011.

The exchange rate will appreciate slightly to K4, 660 to US$1 in 2010 as the increase in foreign exchange inflows from copper exports outweighs the slight decline in donor support.

The EIU also notes that the current-account deficit is expected to fall to 0.3 percent of GDP in 2010 as higher copper prices boost exports, before increasing slightly to 1.1 percent of GDP as copper production stabilises and import demand continues to grow.

“Former President Frederick Chiluba has endorsed Mr Banda’s candidacy in the 2011 presidential election. This will buoy Mr Banda’s electoral prospects.

“Two of the country’s largest mining firms have announced new planned investments in the copper sector in response to the surge in copper prices,” the report reads.

On agriculture, the EIU says Government expects another bumper maize harvest in 2010, underpinned by favourable weather conditions and an increase in the number of farmers benefiting from the state’s fertiliser subsidy scheme.

“Tax collection in January exceeded budgetary targets by K29 billion (US$6.2m), marking a break from the trend observed in 2009,” reads the EIU report.

The EIU is the world’s foremost provider of country, industry and management analyses.

It was founded in 1946 when a director of intelligence was appointed to serve The Economist magazine.

The EIU is now a leading research and advisory firm with more than 40 offices worldwide.

For over 60 years, the EIU has delivered vital business intelligence to influential decision-makers around the world.

The EIU’s extensive international reach and unfettered independence makes it the most trusted and valuable resource for international companies, financial institutions, universities and government agencies.

Its mission is to provide executives with authoritative analyses and forecasts to make informed global decisions.

[eiu.com]

Red card campaign is now unstoppable, Fr Frank Bwalya

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Change Life Zambia executive director Fr Frank Bwalya says the red card campaign is now unstoppable as it has became a national campaign.

Fr Bwalya says attempts by government to thwart the whole campaign will not succeed.

He says the reason why government is intimidating the civil society organizations taking part in the red card campaign is because they are guilty.

Fr Bwalya in an interview with QFM from Kitwe adds that millions of Zambians have joined the red card campaign and that millions more will join.

He adds that government is panicking because they are not ready to appeal against the acquittal of second republican president Frederick Chiluba because doing so would jeopardize the political marriage he is enjoying with president Rupiah Banda.

He adds that failure by government to allegedly bribe the civil society organizations has led to further panic.

Fr Bwalya has since expressed confidence that the red card campaign will achieve its objectives because it is now a people’s campaign.

QFM

Edith Nawakwi accuses George Kunda of plotting murder against her

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Forum for Democracy and Development (FDD) leader, Edith Nawakwi says the statement attributed to vice president, George Kunda warning her that one day she will find herself in a ditch if she is not careful with the remarks she is making lately amount to plotting murder against her.

Mr. Kunda was quoted in one of the daily newspapers as saying that Ms Nawakwi has won her recognition wrongly and would very soon fall in a ditch because government cannot allow a situation where the President is being insulted.

Ms. Nawakwi says it is shameful that MR.KUNDA, who she describes as an absentee minister of justice, has chosen to focus so much on crushing her and her reputation at the expense of his job.

[pullquote]Ms. Nawakwi says it is shameful that MR.KUNDA, who she describes as an absentee minister of justice, has chosen to focus so much on crushing her and her reputation at the expense of his job.[/pullquote]

She says it is the expectation of the general public that the vice president would have by now, advised the republican president to declare the flood situation in the country a national disaster.

She says it is worrying her to see Mr. Kunda persistently attack her for every statement she makes.

Ms Nawakwi has since challenged the vice president to clearly explain to her which ditch she will soon find herself in.

She has also urged him to focus on other issues that are more important and beneficial to the people of Zambia and stop threatening her.

QFM

Single digit Inflation likely — EAZ

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THE Zambian economy has potential to bounce back to single digit inflation levels, Economics Association of Zambia (EAZ) Executive Director Alexander Chileshe has said.

Last week, the Central Statistical Office (CSO) announced that the annual inflation for the month of March shot up to double digits by 0.4 per cent to 10.2 per cent from the February 9.8 per cent.

The increase in inflation was attributed to increases in the prices of food products and public transport during the month under review.

But Mr Chileshe said in response to a Press query that Zambia had potential to get back to single digit inflation during the coming months.

“This has been demonstrated before in 2007, 2008 and 2009. What is most important though, is ensuring that we have stability in inflation levels because frequent fluctuations have significant impact on a number of things such as the value of our money and rates of borrowing among others.

“Stability in inflation will breed more confidence in the financial sector which is a good thing for all of us,” he said.

Mr Chileshe said Zambia had long known that the results of the agriculture season had an impact not only on inflation levels but also on poverty saying sustained investments in the agriculture sector well and efficiency in the sector coupled with sufficient incentives for private sector involvement was the answer to mitigate high inflation.

“Zambia has good whether all year round and can grow almost anything. It has neighbouring countries that would be too glad to buy Zambian agricultural produce, why don’t we take advantage of this?

“The increase in transport costs is obviously as a result of the cost of fuel,” he said.

In the short term, Mr Chileshe said the Government must closely examine and rationalise the costs incurred between Dar-es-Salaam and Indeni.

“Are there some costs that can be removed? Can the organisations or institutions involved in the energy sector operate more efficiently? In the long run, Zambia needs to turn to developing its bio fuels capacity.

“But we must remember that the management of inflation is not an end in itself but it’s only a vehicle and has a broader and much more important goal of reducing poverty and improving the livelihood of the citizens. So whatever we do, this should be the focus,” he said.

He said the outlook of the Zambian economy in the coming months still looked well as long as the country stuck to strict management of the macro economic fundamentals that seemed to have yielded some dividends so far.

The Zambian economy maintained single digit inflation from December 2009 to February 2010 but inflation rose to double-digit status in March 2010.

The Government’s macroeconomic objectives in 2010 are to exceed five per cent growth and to reduce end-year inflation to 8.0 per cent as well as to limit domestic borrowing to 2.0 per cent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

[Times of Zambia]

Mpongwe villagers charge motorists to use detours

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SOME villagers in Chief Ndubeni’s area in Mpongwe District on the Copperbelt Province have taken advantage of the flooded roads in the area by charging motorists K50, 000 to use the alternative routes they have created.

Mpongwe District Commissioner (DC) Miniver Mutesa confirmed that some people in Chief Ndubeni’s area were charging motorists K50, 000 to use the detours.

Ms Mutesa said in an interview in Mpongwe yesterday that the villagers were charging motorists K50, 000 each and blocked the roads if anyone refused to pay.

She said it was sad that some people in the area had taken advantage of the natural disaster like floods to make money for themselves instead of partnering with Government to alleviate the sufferings ofthe affected people.

Ms Mutesa said it was inhumane for some people to make a fortune out of floods in the district, which had displaced many families.

“Areas like rural areas or villages are known to be helpful and courteous when a person or group of people are attacked by natural disasters like floods, but I am saddened that some people in Chief Ndubeni’s area have taken advantage of the flood situation in the area to make money,” Ms Mutesa said.

And Chililabombwe Municipal Council (CMC) Town Clerk Godwin Chinoya has said more than 63 families in Minestone Township at Kasumbalesa Border Post are using the nearby bush to answer the call of nature because the pit latrines are flooded with underground water.

Mr Chinoya said pit latrines in the township were filled with rain water from underground and people had resorted to answering their call of nature in the bush.

Mr Chinoya said the development was a challenge to the fight against Cholera, which had been persistent in the district and needed intensified efforts to curb the spread of the killer disease in the border town.

“As a council, we have hired a vacuum tanker to empty the flooded pitlatrines,” he said.

State after truth on Sata

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HOME Affairs Minister Lameck Mangani has said the current probe on Patriotic Front (PF) leader Michael Sata is meant to establish whether he lied that he has never been convicted of any criminal offence when he declared his candidature for Republican presidency on three occasions.

Mr Mangani said although the incident could have occurred a long time ago, it was important to know whether Mr Sata had told the truth when he declared that he had never been convicted of any offence when filing nominations for the presidency.

He said in an interview yesterday the matter was now of public interest because information had surfaced that Mr Sata had allegedly committed a criminal offence when he was jailed at Bwana Mkubwa Prison.

Mr Mangani said people such as those who allegedly shared jail cells with Mr Sata who were volunteering could not be ignored.

He said the investigation should not be misconstrued as victimisation but a quest to find out the truth.

Mr Mangani said the relevant authorities had intensified the probe on the allegations that Mr Sata was once jailed after he had committed a criminal offence.

He said once the relevant authorities concluded Investigations, the nation would be informed of the outcome and then the Zambians will decide on what action to be taken on the matter.

Former freedom fighters Jackson Ngoma and Dingiswayo Banda both testified that Mr Sata was once incarcerated for a criminal offence, which he committed when he was still serving as a police constable in the Northern Rhodesia Police Force.

[Times of Zambia]

Inyambo’s two daughters, nephew die in car accident

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THREE members of the Mwandi Royal Establishment of Senior Chief Inyambo Yeta of the Lozi people in Mwandi, Sesheke District, died on the spot on Sunday afternoon after the car they were travelling in lost control and rolled several times.

And six other passengers were seriously injured and are admitted to Mwandi Mission Hospital.

Monde Yeta aged 35, Matauka Yeta 16, both daughters of Chief Inyambo Yeta and his nephew Mufuna Yeta 24 died on the spot when the Toyota Gravia car registration number AJB 8379 overturned along Nakatindi Road five kilometres before Mwandi junction.

Western Province police Chief Vael Muzwenga and provincial Permanent Secretary Ikenuke Noyoo confirmed the accident in separate interviews in Mongu yesterday.

Mr Muzwenga said the accident occurred on Sunday at 17:30 hours, saying Monde was driving the vehicle.

“I can confirm that Sesheke police recorded a fatal road accident on March 28, 17:30 hours.

The driver of the vehicle was Monde Yeta of Mwandi Royal Palace who was driving along Nakatindi Road from Sesheke.

“After five kilometres before Mwandi junction, she lost control and overturned several times,’ he said.

He said the condition of the six other passengers who were injured was stable, except for one who, by Press time, was still in a comatose.

The six injured passengers are admitted to Mwandi Mission Hospital, while the three bodies are in Sesheke Hospital mortuary.

Mr Muzwenga said police had launched investigation to establish what could have caused the accident.

[Times of Zambia]

More Chinese investment heads to Luanshya

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CHINA Nonferrous Mining Group Corporation (CNMC) will inject US$300 million more into the operations of China Nonferrous Metal Company Luanshya Copper Mines (CLM) to expand production at the mine.

CNMC president Luo Tao said in an interview upon arrival at Ndola International Airport yesterday that his company had always prioritised development in Zambia and that the injection of the $300 million into the Luanshya mine was aimed at expanding and improving production at the mine.

A total of $38 million had been spent in the refurbishing of the surface and underground infrastructure at the time President Rupiah Banda commissioned the resumption of production last year.

Initially, $90 million had been earmarked for the rehabilitation of both Baluba and Mulyashi mines.

Mr Luo said his delegation would visit the mine in Luanshya and study how to further develop it.

Mr Luo, who led the delegation of 13, which included government officials, CNMC officials and entrepreneurs from the group that met President Banda when he recently visited China, said the visit by the Zambian president to that country had yielded positive results.

He said his team was in Zambia to inspect the Chinese investment performance and explore more investment opportunities.

Mr Luo said his delegation, which would inspect the Chinese CNMC investment on the Copperbelt before proceeding to Lusaka, would be in Zambia for half a month.

“President Banda made a very successful trip to China which was even appreciated by our President Hu. Important issues were discussed between the two presidents, which we have now come to implement.

I must say as the Chinese we were honoured by President Banda’s visit, especially that the two presidents even witnessed the signing of the various important agreements which will be beneficial to both countries,” Mr Luo said.

While in Zambia, Mr Luo and his delegation would meet President Banda and report back to President Hu over the progress of the implementation of the ZCCZ.

The delegation would also meet Mines Minister Maxwell Mwale, Commerce, Trade and Industry Minister Felix Mutati and Finance Minister Situmbeko Musokotwane.

Vice-mayor of Linquin City of Shandong Province Wang Xiaohua is also part of the delegation, which was met at Ndola Airport by Copperbelt Province assistant secretary Steven Lindunda.

[Times of Zambia]

Nawakwi’s attacks on RB are her personal views and not FDD, Chifumu Banda

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FDD vice president Chifumu Banda

OPPOSITION Forum for Democracy and Development (FDD) has disowned its leader Edith Nawakwi over her continued attacks on President Rupiah Banda.

FDD vice president Chifumu Banda said yesterday in an interview that Ms Nawakwi’s attacks on President Banda were her personal views and did not represent the party’s position.

“You can ask senior leaders in the party or the national policy committee. Those views do not represent the views of the party,” he said.

Mr Banda said although people had a right to express their views, the FDD always had a clear position on national issues.

“Those views are hers and do not represent FDD members or the party position,” he said.

He said he did not discuss other people’s utterances because people could not tell the difference between him and other people.

“You know I am a lawyer and I know that every person has a right to express himself or herself,” he said.

The FDD vice-president said even if he had his personal opinion and the fact that he chose to keep quiet did not mean that he did not hold any views.

And FDD national youth chairperson Levy Ngoma said he would issue a statement on the matter today.

Mr Ngoma said he was scheduled to meet Ms Nawakwi last evening before he could issue a statement today.

Ms Nawakwi has in the recent past launched an aggressive attack on President Banda raising concerns in the MMD ranks and the public.

She has recently condemned President Banda’s trip to China and alleged that the president was leading the country on a path of economic disaster.

The opposition leader has also been reported to have attacked President Banda saying most clinics in Lusaka had no medicine and the situation was deplorable.

She has also been quoted as saying that without her support in the 2008 elections, Mr Banda could not have been elected as president.

But many MMD sympathisers have said that Ms Nawakwi was a job-seeker who wanted President Banda to appoint her to a Government position even when there was no need.

[Times of Zambia]

Weekend Scorecard

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Zanaco are expected to depart for Cote d’Ivoire on Wednesday ahead of this weekend’s Caf Champions League clash against ASEC Mimosa.

The team is expected to leave on a Kenya Airways flight just before midday ahead of their match in Abidjan against ASEC that is scheduled to be played on Sunday, April 4.

Zanaco enjoy a 1-0 lead over ASEC from the first round, first leg match played on March 20 at Nkoloma stadium in Lusaka.

Meanwhile, Zesco United’s Caf Confederations Cup opponents Warri Wolves of Nigeria arrive in the country on Wednesday.

Wolves are expected to land in Lusakaby  mid-morning before connecting by air to Ndola where they will be camped and will train from Wanderers club.

The first round, return leg match will be played at Arthur Davies stadium in Kitwe on Saturday April 3.

Wolves enjoy a 3-0 lead from the first leg match played in Warri on March 21.

Faz Super Division

Week 3

28/03/2010

Power Dynamos 1(Kennedy Mudenda 32″)- Zesco United 1(Arthur Kaseloki 13″)
27/03/2010

Konkola Blades 1(Patrick Kasunga 28″)- Nkana 0

TABLE

[standings league_id=15 template=extend logo=false]

2010 TOP SCORERS

28/03/2010

Liniker Mwikisa (Green Buffaloes): 3

Makundika Sakala (Zanaco): 3

Kennedy Mudenda (Power Dynamos): 2

Dube Phiri (Red Arrows): 2

Brian Chilando (Green Buffaloes): 2

Reuben Tembo (Green Buffaloes): 2

Joseph Milanzi (Lusaka Dynamos): 2

Chipulu Chileya (Konkola Blades): 2

Kennedy Chola (Green Buffaloes): 2

Weekend in Pictures

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1.

Vice president George Kunda and his wife Irene dancing during a dinner dance in Kitwe

2.

Football Association of Zambia (FAZ) president Kalusha Bwalya addresses the FAZ Council during the Annual general meeting in Lusaka

3.

Football Association of Zambia president Kalusha Bwalya and general secretary George Kasengele (left) exchange notes during the FAZ annual general meeting in Lusaka

4.

Football Association of Zambia General Secretary George Kasengele and Life member Mwamba Kalenga (left) exchange notes during the FAZ annual general meeting in Lusaka

5.

President Rupiah Banda re-opening the Albidon Nickel Mine in Mazabuka

6.

Part of the crushing section at Albidon Nickel Mine in Mazabuka which President Rupiah Banda re-opened

7.

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8.

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9.

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10.

Defence Chiefs vie the body of the late Prison Service Commissioner Gibbie Nawa in Lusaka

11.

Former ministry of Home Affairs minister Peter Mumba views the body of the late Zambia Prisons Service Commissioner Gibbie Nawa in Lusaka

12.

Dr Chiluba views the body of the late Gibbie Nawa in Lusaka

13.

Pallbearers carry the casket for the late Gibbie Nawa

14.

Youth, Child and Sports Development Minister Kenneth Chipungu shaking hands with a boy who received an artificial leg at Cheshire home in Mongu during his visit

15.

Youth, Child and Sports Development Minister Kenneth Chipungu speak to patients and their mothers at Cheshire Homes in Mongu.

16.

from R- L is Mongu Mayor Shalala Simushi, Western Province Minister Richard Mwapela, Deputy Minister of Defence Joseph Mulyata and Mongu District Commissioner Jethro Mumbuwa leading people during the kuomboka Kufuluhela foundering walk in Mongu

17.

Youth, Child and Sports Development Minister Kenneth Chipungu (c) inspecting the Mongu Sports Stadium during his Visit on infrastructure in his Ministry.

18.

Some Lusaka residents carry Palm leaves dring palm sunday celebrations in Lusaka
Some Lusaka residents carry Palm leaves dring palm Sunday celebrations in Lusaka

19.

Roman Catholic church Saint Ignatius Church parish Priest Father Joe Kearney distributes palm leaves during palm Sunday celebrations in Lusaka

Nawakwi vows not to be intimidated

Forum for Democracy and Development FDD leader, Edith Nawakwi

Forum for Democracy and Development (FDD) leader, Edith Nawakwi has vowed not to succumb to the intimidation of the ruling MMD following her sustained criticism of president Rupiah Banda and his government.

Ms Nawakwi said in an interview she would continue to be critical of the MMD leadership style.

The FDD leader described Vice president George Kunda’s remarks and for the African institute of democracy and good governance as empty for alleging that she has failed her party and members were calling for her removal.

Ms Nawakwi said it is clear that the ruling MMD has been threatened by her stability in leadership and the heat is too much for them to handle.

She said the assertions by Mr.Kunda that her party members would soon be petitioning her are false and only go to show that the MMD has started to porch some of her party members to destroy her political career.

She accused the ruling party of sponsoring a few members in the FDD who might rise against her and call for her to step down.

QFM

MMD castigates Mufumbwe official for suggesting they will lose the by-election

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THE MMD in Mufumbwe has castigated North-Western Province MMD youth chairman Newton Malwa for asserting that the party will lose in the Mufumbwe by-election if it adopts Ambassador Mulondwe Muzungu as its candidate.

Mufumbwe MMD chairman Samola Kayombo said in a statement yesterday that although the party has not yet announced its candidate for the by-election, Mr Muzungu’s capacity to win the seat is unquestionable.

“Any sincere member of the MMD should know that Mr Mulondwe Muzungu is a force to reckon with not only in Mufumbwe Constituency but the entire province. If he was adopted to contest the seat, the MMD would scoop it without difficulty,” Mr Kayombo said.

He said Mr Malwa’s assertion in Friday’s edition of The Post newspaper that Mr Muzungu, who is the country’s ambassador to Libya, would lose the Mufumbwe seat to United Party for National Development (UPND)’s Elliot Kamondo if adopted, is misplaced.

Mr Kayombo said it is wrong for Mr Malwa to compare Mr Muzungu’s influence and popularity in the district to that of Mr Kamondo whom he alleged is a political novice.

He cast doubt on the genuineness of Mr Malwa’s membership of the MMD, because of the assertion, which he said should not have been made, as the MMD has not announced its candidate.

Mr Kayombo said Mr Malwa’s assertion is understandable as he has never been to Mufumbwe and that he does not understand the politics of the district.

He said the MMD is the only party in the district with a large following.

Mr Kayombo said the MMD in Mufumbwe will not allow squabbles that could divide the party.

He said the party is following President Banda’s efforts of reconciliation and unity within the MMD.
Mr Kayombo said Mr Malwa should be reprimanded for not following MMD procedures on making press statements.

He said the MMD in Mufumbwe is more united than ever before and stronger than the UPND.

Mr Kayombo said this is because people in the district appreciate the development which they have seen under the MMD.

He said Mr Banda should be assured that the MMD will scoop the Mufumbwe by-election.

[Zambia Daily Mail]

LAZ commends computerisation of national judicial system

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Law Association of Zambia President Stephen Lungu (left) talks to Transparency International Zambia Executive Director Goodwell Lungu after the Supreme Court delivered a ruling in former President Frederick Chiluba

THE Law Association of Zambia (LAZ) has commended Government and the judiciary for computerisation of the judicial system in the country.

LAZ president said in an interview yesterday that the computerisation of the judiciary will benefit the public, as it will strengthen the way cases are handled.

Mr Lungu said the development will also ensure speedy access to justice by members of the public.

“The launch of the computerisation of the judicial system is very good. It will provide for speedy access to justice,” he said.

Mr Lungu said his association is happy with the development.

He said the judiciary is making significant strides in speeding up the administration of justice.
Mr Lungu said apart from the computerised system, the judiciary last year launched the small-claims court in an effort to reinforce the administration of justice.

He hoped the project to computerise the system will continue and be sustainable.

“As lawyers we are happy. Government and the judiciary should be commended for launching the computerisation of the judicial system. We hope the process will continue and that it will have sustainability,” Mr Lungu said.

He called on all stakeholders to ensure the project continues.

Vice-President George Kunda launched phase one of the computerisation of the judicial system in Lusaka on Friday.

Mr Kunda said the country will be the first in Africa to use such a system.

He said the first phase will see the computerisation of the Supreme, High and Magistrates courts.
The project has been made possible by a grant from Investment Climate Facility for Africa (ICFA) in partnership with Government.

The grant of US$500,000 from the ICFA represents 75 percent of the total cost of the project.

[Zambia Daily Mail]

My suspension from MMD is energizing – Mpombo

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George Mpombo

Former Defence Minister George Mpombo has described the decision by the MMD National Executive Committee (NEC)to suspend him as energizing.

Mr. Mpombo who is MMD Kafulafuta Member of Parliament says he is not shaken by the suspension and that he will not be threatened by the party’s action against him.

Asked on whether he will abide by the ten day ultimatum in which to exculpate himself, Mr. Mpombo says he will only comment after studying the suspension letter. The MMD has suspended Mr. Mpombo on four
charges.

Meanwhile, MMD National Chairperson, Michael Mabenga has confirmed Mr. Mpombo’s suspension saying it is long overdue. He says some members of NEC advised Mr. Mpombo to tone down on his attacks on the Republican President Rupiah Banda, but to no avail.

MUVI TV